NBIS Stock: Soaring Revenue, Mounting Losses, and the Battle for AI Dominance

Nebius Group, which is currently trading close to $89, has evolved from a little-known infrastructure company to a well-known AI competitor. Despite its remarkable revenue growth—nearly five times in a single year—investors continue to place a high priority on sustainability.

Revenue for the fourth quarter came in at $227.7 million, which was just less than expected but still showed a strong clientele. The stock had a slight decline in pre-market trading, indicating that although confidence is still high, expectations are rising even more quickly. The bar has obviously been raised.

Even though its Q4 losses of around $250 million were still substantial, they have significantly decreased from initial estimates. At -$0.69, adjusted EPS topped forecasts and suggests stricter cost controls. Analysts were prepared for the worst. The numbers show cautious optimism.

Nebius invested $4.07 billion in building data centers, GPU clusters, and AI-specific infrastructure in 2025. Although ambitious, that cash investment was well-timed. The company’s network is becoming remarkably extensive as its facilities spread throughout Israel, the United Kingdom, and the United States.

Its emphasis on long-term client relationships has been one really creative choice. A strong foundation is provided by more than $1.5 billion in delayed income. These frequently prepaid contracts provide a safety net in an unstable industry. Few new businesses are able to ensure this degree of ahead demand.

Nonetheless, maintaining balance sheet discipline will be essential given the $4.1 billion in non-current obligations. The competition for AI processing power necessitates audacity, but not carelessness. They have some leeway because to the $3.68 billion in cash, but investors will want to see careful deployment in 2026.

With their contract growth and more than two gigawatts of power already secured, CEO Arkady Volozh recently underlined that demand continues to “exceed supply.” The company’s trajectory will be determined by scaling execution when the year-end targets surpass 3 GW.

I observed a subtle tension on the most recent earnings call: there was no official revenue guidance for 2026. Although not incriminating, that absence implied internal complexity. Forecasts are subject to change, or the plan is being adjusted. Ambiguity is disliked by markets, particularly following a year of exceptional performance.

By means of strategic alliances with prominent technology companies such as Microsoft and Meta, Nebius is already surpassing proof-of-concept. These partnerships convey trust, which could turn out to be more significant than quarterly results. Vision is no longer as important as execution.

The stock’s recent decline, which has seen it drop 16% in the last month, has been severe but not frightening. After quick gains, it feels more like a recalibration or a respite. Investors are posing astute queries about margins, expenses, and the length of a competitive advantage in addition to sales.

Nebius is placing a wager that it can out-build and out-optimize by utilizing vertically integrated infrastructure. The reward might be significant if that turns out to be the case. However, the approach can be put under strain if GPU prices increase or usage slows down. Reward and risk are closely related.

The tale is still unfinished for now. However, it’s among the more interesting stories about AI infrastructure. A business that is forward-thinking, moving quickly, and starting to demonstrate its worth through actual delivery as well as growth.