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    Home » Baba Stock Slides 30% in Five Years — Smart Money Is Still Buying
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    Baba Stock Slides 30% in Five Years — Smart Money Is Still Buying

    erricaBy erricaFebruary 26, 2026No Comments5 Mins Read
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    Seeing Baba stock move across a trading screen has a subtly dramatic quality. Unlike some high-flying AI names, it doesn’t lurch. As though conscious of its own complex past, it moves with restraint. With a market valuation of almost $365 billion and a share price of about $152, Alibaba is no longer a resilient startup. However, it is no longer regarded as the formidable force that it once was.

    Investors appear to be split. The numbers appear nearly conservative on paper: a balance sheet that isn’t reckless, a price-to-earnings ratio of about 20, and a modest dividend yield. The average price targets set by analysts are close to $195, indicating significant upside. Nevertheless, the stock is still far below its 52-week peak of $192.67. It’s possible that the market is still dealing with the fall of over 30% in shares over the last five years.

    CategoryDetails
    Founded1999
    FounderJack Ma
    HeadquartersHangzhou, China
    ListingNYSE: BABA
    Market Cap~$365 Billion
    P/E Ratio~20
    52-Week Range$95.73 – $192.67
    Dividend Yield~0.69%
    Employees~126,661
    Official WebsiteAlibaba Group
    Investor RelationsAlibaba Investor Relations
    Baba Stock Slides 30% in Five Years — Smart Money Is Still Buying
    Baba Stock Slides 30% in Five Years — Smart Money Is Still Buying

    There is a different vibe when you walk through Hangzhou, where Alibaba’s headquarters are spread out across contemporary glass buildings and beautifully landscaped courtyards. Workers tap their badges against entry gates as they briskly move between offices. The business still has an air of ambition. still growing. Currently, there is a growing emphasis on artificial intelligence.

    Alibaba recently released coding tools based on its Qwen 3.5 model, demonstrating its deeper investment in AI infrastructure. Expanding into developer tools and cloud computing in addition to e-commerce is a calculated move. There’s a feeling that management wants to change the story as this pivot plays out. Alibaba is redefining itself as a foundational technology provider rather than just China’s retail giant.

    The problem is that expansion is expensive. Furthermore, the most recent earnings report did not exactly calm people down. The $0.61 quarterly earnings per share fell short of forecasts. Although revenue increased annually, it was still less than what analysts had predicted. That miss lasted longer than the management probably hoped for a business looking to prove its next chapter.

    Baba stock is like a question mark in trading rooms in New York. Portfolio managers pause when they see the valuation discount, which according to some models indicates shares trade about 40% below intrinsic value. It’s alluring. exposure to emerging markets. AI benefit. Institutional investors are accumulating positions in silence. Recently, new stakes have been opened by Waratah Capital and others, indicating belief or at the very least, calculated curiosity.

    However, there has always been a certain amount of ambiguity tolerance needed to believe in Alibaba.

    In recent years, China’s regulatory pressures have changed the tech landscape, bringing even industry titans to their knees. Investors needed to reassess their assumptions about continuous growth. Beijing’s long-term intentions regarding major internet platforms remain unclear. Although it doesn’t appear clearly in financial statements, that uncertainty does exist and affects sentiment, multiples, and valuations.

    Global comparisons continue to exist at the same time. Alibaba is sometimes unfairly compared to Amazon. Because of its dominance in the cloud and perceived stability in U.S. regulatory frameworks, Amazon commands a premium valuation. In contrast, Baba stock is subject to geopolitical discounting. Long-term confidence is more important than quarterly beats in determining whether that gap closes.

    However, the current setup feels different from previous rebounds in some way.

    Shares have produced a positive return over the past year, albeit a small one. Not explosive. Not euphoric. Simply be steady. With a beta of about 0.4, which indicates less drastic swings than many tech names, the volatility has somewhat subsided. It’s difficult to overlook that stabilization. After all, predictability is typically rewarded by markets.

    Additionally, there is the psychological component. Investors who survived the protracted decline from the 2020 peak might be reluctant to make a strong comeback. That descent is still a memory. Like people, stocks have reputations. From an unstoppable growth machine to a regulatory cautionary tale, Baba’s reputation changed. It takes time to change that perception.

    However, the AI push might change the topic of discussion. Revenue diversification will become real rather than hypothetical if Alibaba is able to successfully incorporate Qwen models into its cloud ecosystem, drawing in developers and enterprise clients. Gradually increasing cloud margins have the potential to boost overall profitability. However, it’s still unclear if investments in AI will merely increase capital expenditures or significantly boost earnings in the near future.

    Standing outside a warehouse full of neatly stacked packages that are ready to be delivered—the kind that drove Alibaba’s initial dominance—can occasionally highlight how tangible the company still is. Despite all of the AI news, commerce remains the main driver. Product listings from merchants. Customers clicking “purchase.” At dusk, trucks depart from distribution centers. That foundation is still there.

    Today’s Baba stock seems to be a business torn between two different identities. retailer with some maturity. A contender in the field of emerging AI. priced in the middle of doubt and optimism.

    It appears that investors see value in this. However, they also seem to need evidence. Evidence that investments in AI generate income. Evidence that regulatory risks are still controllable. Evidence that earnings growth can surpass projections once more.

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